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Week 4 NFL Picks

The latest BAKER simulations compared to consensus odds. Last updated: 2022-09-28.

Game Date Spread Moneyline Total Points Winner
Seahawks @ Lions 2022-10-02 Seahawks +4.5 (40.5% ROI) Seahawks (64.0% ROI) Under 50.0 (20.8% ROI) Seahawks (59.4% to win)
Patriots @ Packers 2022-10-02 Patriots +9.5 (36.7% ROI) Patriots (91.1% ROI) Over 40.5 (30.7% ROI) Packers (58.8% to win)
Dolphins @ Bengals 2022-09-29 Dolphins +3.5 (32.8% ROI) Dolphins (59.9% ROI) Over 47.5 (5.6% ROI) Dolphins (59.2% to win)
Jaguars @ Eagles 2022-10-02 Jaguars +6.5 (31.7% ROI) Jaguars (44.9% ROI) Under 48.0 (14.7% ROI) Eagles (54.5% to win)
Cardinals @ Panthers 2022-10-02 Cardinals +1.5 (24.6% ROI) Cardinals (22.8% ROI) Under 42.5 (2.8% ROI) Cardinals (60.2% to win)
Bills @ Ravens 2022-10-02 Bills -3.0 (19.2% ROI) Bills (16.1% ROI) Under 51.5 (4.9% ROI) Bills (71.5% to win)
Rams @ 49ers 2022-10-03 Rams +2.5 (4.0% ROI) 49ers (-3.4% ROI) Over 42.0 (11.6% ROI) 49ers (52.9% to win)
Jets @ Steelers 2022-10-02 Steelers -3.5 (2.7% ROI) Steelers (0.6% ROI) Under 41.5 (0.0% ROI) Steelers (63.4% to win)
Titans @ Colts 2022-10-02 Colts -3.5 (0.8% ROI) Colts (-3.3% ROI) Under 42.5 (0.4% ROI) Colts (61.1% to win)
Vikings @ Saints 2022-10-02 Saints +2.5 (-0.3% ROI) Saints (2.7% ROI) Over 43.5 (4.2% ROI) Vikings (54.9% to win)
Chiefs @ Buccaneers 2022-10-02 Buccaneers +2.0 (-0.4% ROI) Buccaneers (0.2% ROI) Over 45.5 (53.5% ROI) Chiefs (51.5% to win)
Commanders @ Cowboys 2022-10-02 Cowboys -3.5 (-0.9% ROI) Cowboys (-3.6% ROI) Over 41.5 (11.8% ROI) Cowboys (60.1% to win)
Chargers @ Texans 2022-10-02 Chargers -4.5 (-1.8% ROI) Chargers (-4.2% ROI) Over 44.5 (22.0% ROI) Chargers (66.9% to win)
Broncos @ Raiders 2022-10-02 Raiders -2.5 (-2.2% ROI) Raiders (-1.5% ROI) Over 45.5 (-1.3% ROI) Raiders (57.7% to win)
Browns @ Falcons 2022-10-02 Browns -1.5 (-3.2% ROI) Browns (-2.0% ROI) Under 49.5 (15.3% ROI) Browns (53.8% to win)
Bears @ Giants 2022-10-02 Bears +3.5 (-3.4% ROI) Bears (1.4% ROI) Under 39.5 (3.6% ROI) Giants (58.0% to win)
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